Welcome to the NWSL Playoff Picture ·
The place where you can keep track of your favorite team and their odds for the playoffs · This site is for every passionate and/or delusional fan wanting their team to make it, no matter what the table says.
Status comes from a Monte Carlo simulation using each team's season-long attack/defense strength, blended with exact math: shield winners = mathematically clinched 1st, nobody can catch them; home field = mathematically clinched a top-4 finish; clinched = a top-8 spot is mathematically secured; in control = not yet clinched, but the simulation likes their realistic chances; on the bubble = genuinely contested either way; danger = the simulation isn't liking their realistic chances; better luck next year = mathematically out; wooden spoon = mathematically locked into last place. The math tiers only kick in once they're actually settled. Want the exact realistic odds behind a team's status? They're on that team's page. Tap/hold a row for the full team name. Click any team for their full picture and to play out your own scenarios.
Who's IN and OUT this week
Based on the various results that could happen this week, these are the teams set to claim their flag… good or bad. Click a team to see their full range of possible outcomes.